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Politics: Chances and structure of things in APC, PDP (Edo 2020)

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Politics: Chances and structure of things in APC, PDP (Edo 2020)
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Pursuant to the timetable declared by
the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), the Commission is
required to issue an election notice on 1 June 2020 in compliance with Section
30(1) of the Electoral Act, 2010 (as amended). This will pave the way for the
18 INEC-recognized political parties to obtain Signatures, EC9B (revised form
CF002) from the Commission’s headquarters.
It is not yet clear if INEC should
have changed the deadlines due to the continuing containment efforts for the
COVID-19 pandemic, but INEC has maintained that little has changed in the
timetable published so far.
While his term at Osadebay Street
Government House will expire on 11 November 2020, the evolving facts of the 19
September 2020 governorship election in the Edo State appear to favor the
incumbent.
Concerns over the smooth start of the
cycle aside, it is assumed that in the event that the incumbent goes on to win
the governor’s race, he will have proven to his exiled political godfather,
predecessor and acting national chairman of the All Progressives Congress (APC)
that he has been the real Edo State Political GO (General Overseer).
However, the path to Godwin Obaseki’s
second electoral victory does not prove easy, largely because of the
unnecessary internal schism between him and Comrade Oshiomhole, over the
control of the APC apparatus, particularly as to who is calling the shots on
who gets what in the state.
 
Recent checks have shown that, instead
of disrupting or diminishing Obaseki’s power, the political dominance struggle
has exposed the governor to latent alliances and possibilities. Leaders in the
other camp may have felt that as a ‘neophyte,’ the battle against the incumbent
would end up in a frustrating experience for him.

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